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Investment versus speculation

Benjamin Graham's test for what counts as investing, and his two kinds of investor.

FinanceGraham ch. 1About 4 min: 2 reading, 2 practiceUpdated

General education, not financial advice.

After this lesson you can
  • State Graham's definition of an investment operation
  • Name the three ways speculation becomes unintelligent
  • Tell Graham's defensive investor from his enterprising one
The Intelligent Investor: Benjamin Graham's ideas: lesson 1 of 24
  1. Graham ch. 1
  2. Investment versus speculation 4 min
  3. Graham ch. 2
  4. Inflation and the investor 4 min
  5. Graham ch. 3
  6. A century of market history 5 min
  7. Graham ch. 4
  8. The defensive investor's portfolio 4 min
  9. Graham ch. 5
  10. Defensive investors and stocks 4 min
  11. Graham ch. 6
  12. What the enterprising investor avoids 4 min
  13. Graham ch. 7
  14. What the enterprising investor does 5 min
  15. Graham ch. 8
  16. Mr. Market 5 min
  17. Living with fluctuations 5 min
  18. Graham ch. 9
  19. Investing in funds 5 min
  20. Graham ch. 10
  21. The investor and his advisers 4 min
  22. Graham ch. 11
  23. Security analysis for the lay investor 4 min
  24. Graham ch. 12
  25. Per-share earnings and their traps 4 min
  26. Graham ch. 13
  27. Comparing four companies 4 min
  28. Graham ch. 14
  29. The defensive investor's screen 4 min
  30. Graham ch. 15
  31. The enterprising investor's screen 7 min
  32. Graham ch. 16
  33. Convertibles and warrants 6 min
  34. Graham ch. 17
  35. Four extreme case histories 7 min
  36. Graham ch. 18
  37. Eight pairs of companies 7 min
  38. Graham ch. 19
  39. Shareholders, managements and dividends 5 min
  40. Graham ch. 20
  41. Margin of safety (1): the idea 5 min
  42. Margin of safety (2): in practice 7 min
  43. Graham appendix 1
  44. The superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville 6 min
  45. Graham postscript
  46. Graham today 7 min

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Pairs with Graham, The Intelligent Investor, revised edition with commentary by Jason Zweig (HarperBusiness, 2003), Introduction and chapter 1, "Investment versus Speculation"

What it is

Benjamin Graham (1894–1976) taught investing at Columbia and wrote The Intelligent Investor (first edition 1949, last revised 1973). His definition, first set out in Security Analysis (1934), is the backbone of the book:

An investment operation is one which, upon thorough analysis, promises safety of principal and an adequate return.

Anything that fails those tests is speculation. Jason Zweig, in his 2003 commentary, breaks it into three parts. An investment needs all three:

  1. Thorough analysis of the business before you buy.
  2. Safety of principal: deliberate protection against serious loss.
  3. An adequate return: reasonable, not extraordinary.

Graham doesn't say speculation is wrong. He says it is unintelligent when you:

  • speculate while thinking you are investing;
  • speculate seriously without the knowledge and skill for it;
  • risk more than you can afford to lose.

He counts borrowing to buy shares ("buying on margin") as speculation, and suggests that anyone who wants to speculate keep a small, separate fund for it, and never mix it with investments.

Quick check

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  1. According to Graham, an investment operation must offer…

    Show answer

    safety of principal and an adequate return, after thorough analysis. All three parts: analysis, safety, adequate return.

Why it matters

Graham's two kinds of investor are defined by how much work you will put in, not by how much risk you like:

  • The defensive (passive) investor aims first to avoid serious mistakes and losses, and second to be free of effort and frequent decisions.
  • The enterprising (active) investor is willing to spend real time and care choosing securities that are sound and better than average.

Most of the book is about which you are, and what each should do.

Worked example

Two people buy shares in the same company.

  • Ana reads the company's reports, estimates what the business earns and owns, pays a price that leaves room for error, and expects a reasonable return. By Graham's test, she is investing.
  • Ben buys because the price has risen fast for three weeks and a friend says it will keep going. He has borrowed half the money. By Graham's test, he is speculating, and the borrowing makes it more dangerous.

Same company, same day: what makes it investing or speculating is the process, not the thing bought.

Common mistake

Calling anyone who buys shares an "investor". Graham complained that newspapers used the word for everyone in the market, even people making emotional short-term bets. The word should describe how you decide, not what you own.

Key terms

investment operation
Graham: one that, on thorough analysis, promises safety of principal and an adequate return
speculation
any operation that fails Graham's test
defensive investor
aims to avoid serious losses and wants freedom from effort
enterprising investor
willing to put in time and care to find better-than-average opportunities
margin
buying with borrowed money; Graham counts it as speculation

Practise the key terms

Tap a card to turn it over. 5 cards.

FrontBack
investment operationGraham: one that, on thorough analysis, promises safety of principal and an adequate return
speculationany operation that fails Graham's test
defensive investoraims to avoid serious losses and wants freedom from effort
enterprising investorwilling to put in time and care to find better-than-average opportunities
marginbuying with borrowed money; Graham counts it as speculation

Practice

Sort it

Investing or speculating, by Graham's test?

  1. Buying after studying a company's results and paying a price with room for error

    Show answer

    Investing. Analysis, safety and a reasonable return.

  2. Buying a "hot" new share issue because everyone is talking about it

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    Speculating. No analysis; Graham names hot issues specifically.

  3. Borrowing from a broker to buy more shares

    Show answer

    Speculating. Graham counts buying on margin as speculation.

  4. Keeping 5% in a separate "fun" account, knowing it may be lost

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    Speculating. Speculating knowingly, kept apart, as Graham allows.

  5. Buying shares because the price rose every day this month

    Show answer

    Speculating. Price trend is not analysis.

Quick quiz

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  1. What decides whether you are a defensive or an enterprising investor, in Graham's view?

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    How much time and effort you are willing to put in. The enterprising investor is defined by willingness to devote time and care.

  2. Graham's advice for someone who wants to speculate:

    Show answer

    Use only a small, separate fund, and never mix it with investments. Speculate knowingly, with money you can afford to lose, kept apart.

In short

  • Investment = thorough analysis + safety of principal + adequate return.
  • Speculation isn't wrong in itself; it is unintelligent when mistaken for investing, done without skill, or done with money you can't afford to lose.
  • Defensive investor: avoid serious losses, minimise effort. Enterprising: put in time and care.
  • What you buy doesn't decide it; how you decide does.

Mastery check

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Check yourself

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  1. Name the three parts of Graham's definition of an investment.

    Show answer

    Thorough analysis, safety of principal, and an adequate return.

  2. Is buying shares with borrowed money investing or speculating, for Graham?

    Show answer

    Speculating.

  3. What separates Graham's two kinds of investor?

    Show answer

    The time and effort they are willing to put in, not their appetite for risk.

Further reading

  • Benjamin Graham, The Intelligent Investor, revised edition with commentary by Jason Zweig (HarperBusiness, 2003), Introduction and chapter 1.
  • Before this path: The Gotrocks family and the rest of the Bogle path on this site.