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Owning the whole market

Index funds, the S&P 500 and total-market indexes, and why a market-value-weighted index looks after itself.

FinanceBogle ch. 3About 4 min: 2 reading, 2 practiceUpdated

General education, not financial advice.

After this lesson you can
  • Explain what a stock market index and an index fund are
  • Calculate a company's weight in a market-cap-weighted index
  • Explain why such an index doesn't need to trade when prices change
Common-sense investing: the case for index funds: lesson 3 of 13
  1. Bogle ch. 1
  2. The Gotrocks family 4 min
  3. Bogle ch. 2
  4. Where stock returns come from 5 min
  5. Bogle ch. 3
  6. Owning the whole market 4 min
  7. Bogle ch. 4
  8. Costs and the market return 3 min
  9. Bogle ch. 5
  10. Fund returns versus investor returns 6 min
  11. Bogle ch. 6
  12. Taxes are costs too 5 min
  13. Bogle ch. 7
  14. When future returns are lower 5 min
  15. Bogle ch. 8–9
  16. Why past winners rarely repeat 5 min
  17. Bogle ch. 10
  18. Paying for advice 5 min
  19. Bogle ch. 11–12
  20. Costs go on forever 5 min
  21. Bogle ch. 13
  22. Bonds and money-market funds 4 min
  23. Bogle ch. 14–15
  24. New indexes and ETFs 5 min
  25. Bogle ch. 16–18
  26. Graham, the arithmetic, and a plan 5 min

Try first

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Pairs with Bogle, The Little Book of Common Sense Investing (2007), chapter 3, "Cast Your Lot with Business"

What it is

Bogle's answer to the Gotrocks story is to own the whole market and hold it. That is what a broad index fund does: it holds the shares in an index, in the same proportions, and keeps them.

An index is a list of shares with a rule for weighting them. Bogle discusses two U.S. indexes:

  • the S&P 500: about 500 of the largest U.S. companies. In Bogle's 2006 figures these made up about 80% of the value of all U.S. shares.
  • a total stock market index: every U.S. company that trades, 4,971 of them in Bogle's 2006 figures.

Both are market-capitalisation weighted: each company counts in proportion to its total market value (share price × number of shares). Bogle reports that over 1926–2006 the two earned almost the same return (10.3% and 10.1% a year), because the largest companies dominate both.

Bogle invokes Occam's razor: when several solutions work, choose the simplest. Owning everything is the simplest way to own all of business.

Quick check

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  1. In a market-cap-weighted index, which company has the biggest weight?

    Show answer

    The one with the largest total market value. Weight = company value ÷ total value of the index.

Why it matters

A cap-weighted index fund doesn't need to buy or sell when prices move: its holdings rise and fall in value exactly as the market's do, so it stays in step automatically. Little trading means low costs and few taxable gains, which is the Gotrocks family standing still.

Worked example

An index of three companies:

CompanyMarket valueWeight
A600600 ÷ 1,000 = 60%
B30030%
C10010%
Total1,000100%

Now B's share price doubles. B is worth 600, and the market 1,300:

  • A: 600 ÷ 1,300 ≈ 46.2%
  • B: 600 ÷ 1,300 ≈ 46.2%
  • C: 100 ÷ 1,300 ≈ 7.7%

An index fund that held the same shares as before now has exactly these weights too, because its shares of B doubled in value along with everyone else's. It didn't have to trade.

Common mistake

Thinking an index fund must constantly rebalance as prices move. A cap-weighted fund rebalances itself; it trades mainly when companies join or leave the index, or when money comes in or goes out.

Key terms

index
a list of shares with a rule for weighting them
index fund
a fund that holds the shares of an index in the same proportions
market capitalisation
share price × number of shares: a company's total market value
cap-weighted
each company counts in proportion to its market value
S&P 500
an index of about 500 large U.S. companies
Occam's razor
when several solutions work, choose the simplest

Practise the key terms

Tap a card to turn it over. 6 cards.

FrontBack
indexa list of shares with a rule for weighting them
index funda fund that holds the shares of an index in the same proportions
market capitalisationshare price × number of shares: a company's total market value
cap-weightedeach company counts in proportion to its market value
S&P 500an index of about 500 large U.S. companies
Occam's razorwhen several solutions work, choose the simplest

Practice

Work it through

An index holds three companies worth 500, 300 and 200. Company C (worth 200) rises 50% in value; the others don't change.

Quick quiz

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  1. Why did Bogle's S&P 500 and total-market figures move almost together?

    Show answer

    The largest companies, which are in both, make up most of the value of each. Cap weighting gives the big companies most of the weight in both.

  2. A company's share price rises. What must a cap-weighted index fund do?

    Show answer

    Nothing: its holding has grown in value along with the company. Cap-weighted funds keep in step without trading.

In short

  • An index fund holds all the shares of an index, in proportion, and keeps them.
  • Cap-weighted: weight = company value ÷ total value.
  • Price changes don't force trades; the fund stays in step automatically.
  • Bogle: the simplest way to own all of business (Occam's razor).

Mastery check

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Check yourself

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  1. How do you find a company's weight in a cap-weighted index?

    Show answer

    Divide its market value by the total market value of the index.

  2. Why does a cap-weighted index fund trade so little?

    Show answer

    Price changes move its holdings in step with the index, so it only trades when the index's list changes or money flows in or out.

  3. What share of U.S. stock market value did the S&P 500 cover in Bogle's 2006 figures?

    Show answer

    About 80%.

Further reading

  • John C. Bogle, The Little Book of Common Sense Investing (John Wiley & Sons, 2007), chapter 3.
  • Investor.gov: Index Funds, the U.S. SEC's plain-language page on index funds.