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Winners and losers from trade

Who gains and who loses when a country opens to trade, and why the gains outweigh the losses.

FinanceA company's marketAbout 5 min: 2 reading, 3 practiceUpdated

General education, not financial advice.

After this lesson you can
  • Use the world price to tell whether a country will export or import a good
  • Identify who gains and who loses in an exporting and an importing country
  • Explain why total surplus rises with trade, and the other benefits Mankiw lists

Builds toward: Judge a company. Read a company's accounts, apply Graham's tests, and make a rough valuation.

A company's market: pricing power, taxes and trade: lesson 11 of 15
  1. A company's market
  2. Price elasticity of demand 6 min
  3. Elasticity and total revenue 5 min
  4. Consumer and producer surplus 4 min
  5. Market efficiency 5 min
  6. Price ceilings and floors 6 min
  7. Who really pays a tax 5 min
  8. Deadweight loss 5 min
  9. How tax size changes the loss 5 min
  10. Absolute and comparative advantage 5 min
  11. Why trade helps both sides 5 min
  12. Winners and losers from trade 5 min
  13. Tariffs and quotas 5 min
  14. What makes productivity grow 5 min
  15. Growth policy 5 min
  16. Why unemployment exists 6 min

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Pairs with any introductory economics textbook; for example N. Gregory Mankiw, Principles of Macroeconomics (6th ed.), chapter 9

What it is

Mankiw imagines a small country, Isoland, deciding whether to allow free trade in textiles. Before trade, the domestic price balances domestic supply and demand. Once trade is allowed, the domestic price moves to the world price, the price in world markets. Isoland is assumed to be small, so it takes the world price as given.

Exporter or importer? Compare the two prices:

  • World price above the domestic price: Isoland has a comparative advantage in textiles and will export them.
  • World price below the domestic price: other countries have the comparative advantage, and Isoland will import.

Quick check

Tap an answer to check it.

  1. Before trade, a country's steel sells for 600 a tonne. The world price is 450. Will it export or import steel once trade opens?

    Show answer

    Import: foreign steel is cheaper. A world price below the domestic price means others have the comparative advantage.

Why it matters

In an exporting country the price rises to the world price:

  • Domestic producers gain (they sell more, at a higher price).
  • Domestic consumers lose (they pay more).
  • Producers' gains are larger than consumers' losses, so total surplus rises.

In an importing country the price falls to the world price:

  • Domestic consumers gain.
  • Domestic producers lose.
  • Consumers' gains are larger than producers' losses, so total surplus rises.

In both cases, trade raises a nation's economic well-being in the sense that the winners' gains exceed the losers' losses. The winners could, in principle, compensate the losers and still be better off. Mankiw notes that this compensation rarely happens, and that losers from trade are often better organised than winners, so they may lobby for tariffs or quotas.

Other benefits, beyond the standard analysis, in Mankiw's list:

  • More variety of goods.
  • Lower costs through economies of scale: firms can sell to world markets, not just a small home market.
  • More competition, which limits firms' market power.
  • A better flow of ideas, since new technology often travels with traded goods.

Worked example

An importing country. At the world price of 4, home producers supply 20 units and home buyers want 80, so 60 are imported. Before trade, the price was 7, with 50 units bought and sold. (Supply: Q = 10P − 20; demand: Q = 120 − 10P.)

Moving from 7 to the world price of 4:

  • Consumer gain: 3 × 50 (the old buyers pay 3 less) + ½ × 3 × 30 (new purchases) = 150 + 45 = 195.
  • Producer loss: 3 × 20 (on what they still sell) + ½ × 3 × 30 (on what they no longer make) = 60 + 45 = 105.
  • Net gain to the country: 195 − 105 = 90.
An importing country: the price falls from 7 to the world price of 4, home output falls to 20 and buyers take 80Home supply and demand cross at a price of 7 and 50 units before trade. Trade brings the price down to the world price of 4. At 4, home producers supply 20 and home buyers take 80; the gap of 60 is imported. The shaded area shows the gain to buyers from the lower price (195); home producers lose part of it (105), leaving a net gain to the country of 90.QuantityPriceConsumer gainSupplyDemandWorld price 4750Imports: 60
An importing country: the price falls from 7 to the world price of 4, home output falls to 20 and buyers take 80
Text description

Home supply and demand cross at a price of 7 and 50 units before trade. Trade brings the price down to the world price of 4. At 4, home producers supply 20 and home buyers take 80; the gap of 60 is imported. The shaded area shows the gain to buyers from the lower price (195); home producers lose part of it (105), leaving a net gain to the country of 90.

Common mistake

Saying "trade benefits everyone". It doesn't: in an importing industry, domestic producers and their workers lose. The claim is that total gains exceed total losses, so the country as a whole is better off.

Key terms

world price
the price of a good in world markets
exports
goods produced at home and sold abroad
imports
goods produced abroad and sold at home
economies of scale
lower costs per unit from producing in large quantities
small economy
one that takes the world price as given

Practise the key terms

Tap a card to turn it over. 5 cards.

FrontBack
world pricethe price of a good in world markets
exportsgoods produced at home and sold abroad
importsgoods produced abroad and sold at home
economies of scalelower costs per unit from producing in large quantities
small economyone that takes the world price as given

Practice

Work it through

An exporting country: before trade, the price of wheat was 3; the world price is 5. At 3, farmers sold 100; at 5, they produce 140 and home buyers take 60.

Quick quiz

Tap an answer to check it.

  1. When a country starts importing a good, who loses?

    Show answer

    Domestic producers of that good. The domestic price falls to the world price.

  2. In what sense does trade raise a nation's well-being, according to Mankiw?

    Show answer

    The winners' gains exceed the losers' losses. Total surplus rises, though not every person gains.

  3. Which is one of the extra benefits of trade that Mankiw lists?

    Show answer

    Firms can produce at larger scale and lower cost. Economies of scale are one of four extra benefits he names.

Sort it

Which group does this belong to?

  1. Home consumers when the country imports

    Show answer

    Gains. The price falls

  2. Home producers when the country imports

    Show answer

    Loses. They face cheaper foreign competition

  3. Home producers when the country exports

    Show answer

    Gains. The price rises

  4. Home consumers when the country exports

    Show answer

    Loses. The price rises

In short

  • Compare the world price with the domestic price to see whether a country exports or imports.
  • Exporting: producers gain, consumers lose. Importing: consumers gain, producers lose.
  • Either way, total surplus rises: gains exceed losses.
  • Extra benefits: variety, economies of scale, competition, ideas.

Mastery check

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Check yourself

Answer in your head first, then open the answer. Nothing is saved.

  1. The world price is above a country's domestic price. Will it export or import?

    Show answer

    Export.

  2. In the worked example, what is the country's net gain from opening to trade?

    Show answer

    90 (consumers gain 195, producers lose 105).

  3. Why might a country restrict trade even though it raises total surplus?

    Show answer

    Because the losers are often better organised politically than the winners and lobby for protection.

Further reading