Present value
How to compare money paid at different times.
FinanceMankiw ch. 14About 5 min: 2 reading, 3 practiceUpdated
General education, not financial advice.
- Work out a present value by dividing by (1 + r)ᴺ
- Compare money paid at different times
- Explain why higher rates lower present values
Money over time: lesson 2 of 5
- Mankiw ch. 14
- Compound interest 5 min
- Present value 5 min
- Mankiw ch. 11
- Measuring inflation with a price index 4 min
- Real and nominal interest rates 3 min
- Bogle ch. 4
- Costs and the market return 3 min
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Pairs with Mankiw, Principles of Macroeconomics (6th ed.), chapter 14, "The Basic Tools of Finance": present value
What it is
Money you have today can earn interest, so it is worth more than the same amount later. Present value turns a future amount into what it is worth today: the sum you would need to put away now, at today's interest rate, to end up with that future amount.
It is compound interest run backwards. Instead of multiplying by (1 + r)ᴺ, you divide:
present value = future amount ÷ (1 + r)ᴺ
Working out a present value is called discounting.
Quick check
Tap an answer to check it.
To turn a future amount into today's value, you…
- That gives a future value, the opposite direction
Show answer
divide by (1 + r)ᴺ. Present value is compounding run backwards.
Why it matters
Present value lets you compare offers paid at different times, like a prize now or a bigger prize later, or a cost today against income in ten years. Businesses use the same idea to decide whether a project is worth paying for.
Worked example
Would you rather have 1,000 today or 1,500 in 8 years?
- At 4% a year: 1,500 ÷ 1.04⁸ ≈ 1,096. The 1,500 is worth about 1,096 today, which is more than 1,000, so waiting wins.
- At 7% a year: 1,500 ÷ 1.07⁸ ≈ 873. Now the 1,500 is worth less than 1,000 today, so taking the money now wins.
The same two offers give different answers, because the interest rate changes what waiting costs you.
Common mistake
Adding up future payments as if they were all paid today. A prize of 10,000 a year for 30 years is "300,000" on paper, but each later payment is worth less today, so its present value is well below 300,000.
Key terms
- present value
- what a future amount is worth today
- discounting
- working out a present value
- interest rate
- the price of waiting; higher rates shrink present values
Practise the key terms
Tap a card to turn it over. 3 cards.
| Front | Back |
|---|---|
| present value | what a future amount is worth today |
| discounting | working out a present value |
| interest rate | the price of waiting; higher rates shrink present values |
Practice
Quick quiz
Tap an answer to check it.
When interest rates rise, what happens to the present value of a fixed future payment?
- Dividing by a bigger number gives a smaller result
- The rate is part of the formula, so it matters
Show answer
It falls. You divide by a bigger (1 + r)ᴺ, so today's equivalent is smaller.
What is the present value of 110 paid in one year, at 10% interest?
- Subtracted 10% of 110 instead of dividing by 1.10
- Multiplied: that is a future value
Show answer
100. 110 ÷ 1.10 = 100.
Work it through
You will be paid 2,420 in 2 years. Interest rates are 10% a year. What is it worth today?
- Multiply 1.10 by itself
- Divide 2,420 by 1.21
Practice problems
Basic
What is the present value of 1,050 paid in one year, at 5% interest?
Answer and full solution
Answer: 1,000
- Divide by (1 + r) once: 1,050 ÷ 1.05 = 1,000.
Intermediate
What is the present value of 5,000 paid in 3 years, at 6% a year?
Answer and full solution
Answer: About 4,198.10
- (1.06)³ = 1.06 × 1.06 × 1.06 ≈ 1.191016.
- 5,000 ÷ 1.191016 ≈ 4,198.10.
Challenge
Offer A pays 900 today. Offer B pays 1,000 in 2 years. Interest rates are 6% a year. Which is worth more today, and by how much?
Answer and full solution
Answer: A, by about 10
- Present value of B: 1,000 ÷ 1.06² = 1,000 ÷ 1.1236 ≈ 890.00.
- A is 900 today, which is about 10 more than B's 890.
- At a lower interest rate, B could win: try it in the calculator.
In short
- Money today is worth more than the same money later.
- Present value = future amount ÷ (1 + r)ᴺ.
- Higher interest rates mean lower present values.
- Compare offers paid at different times by their present values.
Mastery check
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Check yourself
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Why is 100 today worth more than 100 in five years?
Show answer
Money today can be saved and earn interest, so it grows into more than 100 by then.
What is the present value of 121 paid in two years, at 10% a year?
Show answer
100, because 121 ÷ 1.1² = 121 ÷ 1.21 = 100.
What is the name for working out a present value?
Show answer
Discounting.
Further reading
- N. Gregory Mankiw, Principles of Macroeconomics, 6th edition (South-Western, Cengage Learning, 2012), chapter 14.
- OpenStax, Principles of Finance (2022), free online at openstax.org.
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